Well, this one seems pretty easy to me.
The game is in Norman. Bob Stoops has only lost twice in nearly ten years at home. Texas Tech had some nice home wins, but I don't think they're ready to win a big time away game like this yet.
Plus, check out these stats from http://blatanthomerism.blogspot.com/2008/11/leachs-kryptonite.html
"Since 2004, Tech has played a total of 60 games, 45 on turf and 15 on grass. During that period, the Red Raiders have put averages of 43.1 points per game and 499.2 yards of total offense per game on artificial turf. In comparison, the national medians for all teams on all surfaces are averages of approximately 25 points and 360 yards. What happens when the Raiders play on the real stuff? Tech's averages drop considerably: 27 points per game and 430 yards. On a per-play basis, Leach's teams have averaged 6.0 yards per play on grass versus 6.9 yards per play on turf. Each offensive play generates an average 0.37 points on grass against 0.59 points per play on turf. The disparity even holds true when it comes to taking care of the ball. Since the 2006 season, the Red Raiders have averaged 1.2 turnovers per game on grass, while they have turned it over an average of just one time on turf."
I'll have a more in-depth analysis up in a bit.
Thursday, November 20, 2008
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